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Breaking: German outlook drops to two years low amid fears of trade war

Breaking: German outlook drops to two years low amid fears of trade war
  • Mona Dohle
  • 20 March 2018
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The monthly ZEW economic outlook has dropped to a two year low in March, amid growing investor concerns of global trade wars and the effects of a Euro appreciation.

Compared to the previous month, the six-month economic outlook for Germany dropped by -12.7 basis points, the outlook for the Eurozone fell by -15.9 basis points month on month, according to the monthly ZEW survey among 220 institutional investors and analysts in Germany.

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The assessment of the current economic situation was slightly less severe, with the index for Germany declining by -1.6 basis points month on month, the assessment of the Eurozone deteriorated by -1.5 basis points compared to the previous month.

“Fears that the US might cause a global trade war have certainly led to a more cautious outlook among respondents. Another factor is the strong level of the Euro, which represents a burden for an export-oriented economy like Germany. Nevertheless, in combination with a relatively stable assessment of the current situation, the long-term outlook remains positive” comments ZEW president Achim Wambach.

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